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SRAX, Inc. (SRAX)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • SRAX did not issue a standard Q4 2022 earnings press release or hold a Q4 earnings call; available primary sources from late Q4 and early Q1 2023 focus on filings status, listing, and business updates rather than reported Q4 financials .
  • Management emphasized Sequire’s momentum and a pivot to increase cash-based contracts, targeting 50–60% cash revenue mix by year-end 2023, alongside cost reductions of roughly $250K per month in personnel expenses executed during 2H 2022 .
  • Liquidity and going concern remained central: operations depended heavily on monetizing marketable securities; Nasdaq granted continued listing subject to becoming current by Feb 28, 2023, a key near-term stock catalyst .
  • Context from the most recent filed quarter (Q1 2022): GAAP revenue $7.499M, non-GAAP revenue $10.628M, diluted EPS $0.13, adjusted EBITDA $(0.767)M; bookings for full-year 2022 were $33M; portfolio “reset” rights grew materially ($14M) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Portfolio “reset” provisions materially increased value and liquidity prospects in late 2022/early 2023; management quantified resets at ~$14M, with 144-day holding periods “tacking” back to original issuance, improving near-term saleability .
  • Sequire ecosystem expansion: launch of Sequire Community to formalize investor Q&A and verification; banks and issuers increasingly using SRAX’s virtual events platform; LD Micro events demonstrated strong attendance and cash flow attributes .
  • Cost actions: management cut non-revenue roles and highlighted savings of about $250K/month, with additional $200–300K/month following initial cuts, aiming to move EBITDA back positive as mix shifts to cash .

What Went Wrong

  • Reporting delays and listing risk dominated Q4 narrative; SRAX received multiple delinquency/delisting notices during 2H 2022 before securing an extension to regain compliance, creating uncertainty for investors .
  • Liquidity constraints and reliance on monetizing restricted securities drove operational complexity; management reiterated difficulty of timing Rule 144 releases and market impact of selling microcap positions .
  • Going concern and debt overhang persisted; convertible debentures extended to Dec 31, 2023 and a revolving credit facility tied repayments to securities sales, further linking liquidity to portfolio monetization .

Financial Results

Note: SRAX did not disclose Q4 2022 financials in primary filings or press releases. The latest filed quarter is Q1 2022 (filed Jan 3, 2023); Q3 2022 and Q4 2022 were not reported in these sources .

MetricQ4 2021Q3 2022Q4 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)Not disclosed in filings/press materials Not reported Not reported
Diluted EPS ($)Not disclosed Not reported Not reported
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$0.861 (positive) Not reported Not reported
Net Income ($USD Millions)Not disclosed Not reported Not reported

Segment breakdown (Q4 2022): Not disclosed. Latest segment detail available is Q1 2022, showing Sequire platform revenue of $7.499M (with conference revenue $0 in the quarter) .
KPIs (context from latest available materials):

  • Deferred revenue: $16.722M as of Mar 31, 2022; amortizes over subsequent quarters .
  • Marketable securities: $28.824M as of Mar 31, 2022 .
  • 2022 bookings: ~$33M .
  • Portfolio reset rights: ~$14M as of Jan 17, 2023 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/CommentaryChange
Revenue mix (% cash of total)FY 2023 targetPredominantly stock in Q1 2022 (~85–86% stock) Targeting 50–60% cash by YE 2023; shifting toward cash contracts Raised cash mix target
Operating expenses (personnel)2H 2022 into 2023Elevated during growth phase Cost reductions of ~$250K/month, with a further $200–300K/month savings thereafter Lowered OpEx run-rate
Filings/Listing statusBy Feb 28, 2023Multiple delinquency notices in 2022 Nasdaq Panel granted continued listing subject to filing compliance by Feb 28, 2023 Conditional extension
Convertible debenturesMaturityPrior maturity earlier; extensions applied Extended to Dec 31, 2023; holders may extend further for additional principal Extended maturity
Revolving credit facility24-month termN/ARepayment tied to % of securities sale proceeds (10–20% over time); lender also receives 10% of net proceeds of customer securities sold during term New facility, impacts cash flow

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Oct 24, 2022 Special Call)Previous Mentions (Dec 31, 2022 Shareholder/Analyst Meeting)Current Period (Jan 17, 2023 Special Update)Trend
Filings and auditorsTransition to Marcum; valuation process (B. Riley) to reduce volatility Marcum ratified; plan to file Q1 before market open first week of Jan; Q2/Q3 targeted by end Feb Q1 2022 filed; Q2/Q3 targeted; may extend K filing to April 15 Progressing, still catching up
Portfolio resets and valuationResets ~$10.4M; fair value vs P×Q cautions; B. Riley valuation Public valuation site (portfolio) launched; caution on GAAP vs P×Q Resets ~$14M; 144 tacking improves saleability; liquidity starting to return Resets increasing; improving liquidity
Revenue mix shift to cashEmphasis on moving toward cash; elasticity and pricing adjustments for stock deals Reinforced strategy; LD Micro strong cash attributes Target 50–60% cash by YE 2023; mix started to shift in Q4 Shift underway
Cost actionsInitial cuts in non-revenue roles N/A~$250K/month savings plus $200–300K/month additional Ongoing reductions
Liquidity and monetizationMechanics of selling restricted/unrestricted shares; 10% daily volume rule N/AImproved movement of shares to brokerage; larger batches becoming unrestricted in Q1 Operational improvements

Management Commentary

  • “This $14 million worth of marketable securities is either… already in a position where we can start selling them or… further along in the process…the 144 tacking period…is…when we received those shares.”
  • “We made a concerted effort…to push more towards cash-based transactions…our goal is to get to at least 50% to 60% cash.”
  • “We cut a significant amount of expenses…we probably got ahead of ourselves…now we’re bringing that back down…getting a hold of those expenses.”
  • “Deferred revenue…represents the initial value of the consideration…fair value on the contract date…discounts…lack of marketability…will amortize off…over the next 4 quarters.”
  • “We sold an aggregate of Designated Assets…proceeds…payments before the event…LD Micro has a much better cash flow profile than our other businesses.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Estimate of breakeven EBITDA with reduced expenses around $6–6.5M quarterly revenue (framework, not formal guidance) .
  • Liquidity approach: accelerate brokerage conversions; sell up to ~10% daily volume; larger batches of unrestricted shares expected in Q1 2023 .
  • Portfolio concentration/liquidity: resets and reclassification shift distribution over Q2/Q3; over 100 positions across common, convertibles, warrants .
  • Bookings: FY 2022 ~$33M; shift to cash reduced average contract size but improved renewability .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2022 revenue and EPS was unavailable within SPGI/CIQ mapping for SRAX during this review window; no reliable estimate series could be retrieved. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to missing mapping.
  • Implication: No beat/miss analysis can be performed for Q4 2022. Future estimate tracking should be revisited once CIQ mapping is established and filings are current .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term stock catalyst hinges on filing compliance by Feb 28, 2023 and evidence of cash contract mix rising; monitor subsequent 10-Q/K releases and any Nasdaq updates .
  • Liquidity outlook improving via ~$14M reset rights and operational enhancements in moving shares; still contingent on microcap market stability and Rule 144 timing .
  • Strategic pivot to cash and sustained cost actions should support margin recovery as Sequire recurring revenues scale; LD Micro’s pre-paid cash model provides helpful cash flow ballast .
  • Debt profile manageable near term after extensions, but repayments tied to securities sale proceeds keep cash generation linked to portfolio monetization—track portfolio updates and sale cadence .
  • Given absent Q4 2022 reported results, focus analysis on operational KPIs (bookings, deferred revenue movements, contract mix) and the company’s progress to normalized reporting cadence .

Appendix: Context from the Latest Filed Quarter (Q1 2022)

MetricQ1 2021Q1 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)$4.917 $7.499
Non-GAAP Revenue excl. fair value discounts ($USD Millions)$4.917 $10.628
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(11.090) $3.728
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.57) $0.13
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$0.920 $(0.767)

Notes: Sequire platform revenue was $7.499M in Q1 2022; deferred revenue stood at $16.722M; marketable securities were $28.824M; unrealized gain on marketable securities was $6.366M .